Showing Tag: "preference flow" (Show all posts)

Libs preference decision may not hurt Greens as much as you might think

Posted by Vote Climate on Thursday, August 15, 2013, In : Preferencing 

Will the Liberals' decision to give preferences to Labor put an end to the Greens' chances of winning seats at this election? Tim Colebatch in the Age (15/8) argues that Adam Bandt still has a reasonable chance of retaining his seat of Melbourne and that the Greens could hold their own, or even improve their position in the Senate. 

He explains this as follows:

... if Liberal voters direct preferences as they did in the 2010 state election – the last time the Liberals told their supporters t...

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Can Wikileaks win a seat in the Victorian senate?

Posted by Vote Climate on Wednesday, August 14, 2013, In : Micro parties 
The Wikileaks Party is of interest because they have a reasonable climate policy and they are competing with Janet Rice from the Greens (with a better climate policy) for the last Victorian senate place. Polls give wildly conflicting estimates of what their share of the vote will be. Hence the Glenn Druery preference deals described in the article posted below are of central importance. Crikey has a detailed analysis. Read more here

Some quotes from the Crikey article:
Julian Assange's WikiL...

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Is Batman a safe Labor seat or a Labor/Greens marginal?

Posted by Vote Climate on Sunday, June 2, 2013, In : Political analysis 

Anthony Green, well-known election analyst, lists Batman as Labor's safest seat with a margin of 24.8%. However, he notes that "the margins for Batman and Grayndler are shown with a two-party preferred [Labor/Liberal] margin despite the Greens finishing second at the 2010 election."  When you look at the seat as  Labor/Greens marginal a different picture emerges. 

From Leone Taylor, 'The Guardian':

Batman is officially Labor’s safest seat, held by a margin of 24.8%.

But an aggregation of the l...

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