Anthony Green, well-known election analyst, lists Batman as Labor's safest seat with a margin of 24.8%. However, he notes that "the margins for Batman and Grayndler are shown with a two-party preferred [Labor/Liberal] margin despite the Greens finishing second at the 2010 election."  When you look at the seat as  Labor/Greens marginal a different picture emerges. 

From Leone Taylor, 'The Guardian':

Batman is officially Labor’s safest seat, held by a margin of 24.8%.

But an aggregation of the l...

Continue reading ...

Latest analysis by expert pollster Anthony Green suggests that the Liberals could win control of the Senate and thus be able to repeal the carbon price.

As reported in The Age:

If current polling continues, and Mr Abbott wins a majority in the House of Representatives, then to repeal the carbon tax he would need 39 votes in the Senate. Currently the Coalition controls 34 out of the 76 seats. 
The Coalition will win another seat in Tasmania and is likely to claim Greens' Senator Sarah Hanson-Youn...
Continue reading ...

Read part 1 here.
Read part 2 here.
Read part 3 here.
Continue reading ...